Wednesday, October 10, 2007

What Will 2006 Bring?

As the year comes to an end, you will see plenty of websites offering stock guidance for 2006 and what you should expect for years to come. This guide can be had for free if you buy this or subscribe on that or sign up for newsletters. This is just marketing gimmick. Sure, they have their use. But they want to get you back by offering you a set of stock guide every year. You only need one stock guide for your entire lifetime and I will give it to you for free. Well, your time is not free so that is what you need to read this guide.

2006 will be similar to any other years. In fact, it doesn't matter what year you are in. You can be in 1921, or 2105 and it will bring the same thing to investor. Therefore, stop reading 'Stock Guide from 2007' one year from now. You just have to read this once.

2006 will bring out the best to undervalued investment and companies having stellar balance sheet. It doesn't matter what economic condition we are in, these stocks will give you outstanding return. Now, these stocks will not give you the best return ala Taser ( up 2040 % in 2003) or Travelzoo ( up 1070% in 2004), but it also will not give you Taser-like loss ( down 80.6 % in 2005) or Travelzoo ( down 75.3 % in 2005)

After all, Warren Buffet becomes rich by getting a return in excess of 20 % annually for a long time. His stock holding does not move up 1000% in one year and move down 80 % in another. Yet, he is doing fine, more than fine. Slow and steady wins the race and apparently it has been time-tested by some of the best investors in the world.

Yep, so your 2006 guide is to find undervalued investments and invest in them. You think oil price will go up in 2006? Then, whip out your calculator, determine the fair value of any Chevrons or Exxons of the world and compare it with the current stock price. Be sure to look at the balance sheet too. Having a positive net cash will ensure that the company you picked will survive one year from now at the very least.

How do you determine the fair value of a stock? Quite simply, you compare it with the prevailing interest rate and add a risk premium to arrive at fair value. For example, if current interest rate is yielding 4.5 %, the fair value of a common stock is when it yields around 7.5 %. This implies a Price Earning Ratio of 13.3

Anything else you need to know? Nope. Your only guide for year 2006 and beyond is to find undervalued investment. It has stood the test of time.

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Forex Trading - The Basics Should Not Be Ignored

Why is it that only five percent of all forex traders are successful? Do they know something that you don't? The answer to the last question is no and yes. Is there some super secret formula that guarantees forex trading success that only a handful of elites have knowledge of? No. Is there certain keys to forex trading that separates the haves from the have-nots? Yes. Allow me to blow the lid off the three keys to becoming a successful forex trader. The first and most obvious key, find a "Reliable Forex Trading System". The second key, "Discipline". Always stick rigidly to your proven forex trading system. Don't let fear and greed cause you to deviate from your trading system. The third key, "Money Management". Money management is arguably the most important of the three keys, but sadly it is the most likely key to be ignored entirely. But let us define forex trading basics first.

Do you know what Forex trading is. Forex trading is an alternative to the unpredictable nature and whims of the other markets. Forex trading is based on the movements of a set of currencies that are sold in currency pairs, where one currency is the base and one is the counter or quote currency. Forex trading is a very interesting method of trading simply because it allows people from all over the world the chance to trade and strike it rich in a market that has untold liquidity. Forex trading is best market for any lover of finance and for any person that prefers his money working for him.

Forex means the foreign currency exchange, and that today alone nearly $2 Trillion will be traded by banks, governments, corporations, trading partners and private and corporate speculators. Forex traders around the world are competing against other forex traders, banks, and institutional traders who are seeking the same potential rewards from their own trading activities. Forex traders frequently jump in and out of the market and closely monitor their positions throughout the day. Forex trading strategies are the key to successful online currency trading but how do you know which strategies to use and when to use them.

Comprehending technical analysis and, in particular, being able to interpret price charts is essential for any forex trader. Technical analysis is a method of forecasting price movements by looking at purely market-generated data. Technical analysis does not guarantee success, but a methodical application of its principles may improve your performance as a trader. The goal of technical analysis is to uncover the patterns given off in a current market by examining past market patterns, often designated as signals.

Once you engage in live trading, you must take care to instill strict discipline when it comes to money management. Your overall personal forex trading strategy should include three vital ingredients; the currency pair you decide to trade, what technical indicators you use for entry/exit plans and sound money management. Forex trading is a speculative endeavor that requires proper training, education, discipline, confidence, risk management and money management skills.

Learning is the key to any field and the field of forex trading is no different. The truth about forex trading is that, many people are earning small profits from trading while only few are successful with it. One of the most basic things that you have to understand about forex trading is that there will always be losing streaks along with the winning ones. The best way to handle forex trading is to have a reliable trading system coupled with a rigid money management system.

And there you have it. A reliable currency trading system, discipline, and an effective money management system are the Holy Grail for becoming a profitable forex trader. These three things will insure that you are a part of the 5% of forex traders who actually make a consistent income from forex trading. Master these three areas and financial freedoms is yours for the taking.

Have you ever desired the income and freedom of being a home based forex trader? Visit the author's (Kenneth Aikens) website for more powerful forex trading information: forex training - forex article directory.